Page 207 - Profile's Stock Exchange Handbook - 2021 issue 1

Profile’s Stock Exchange Handbook: 2021 – Issue 1 JSE – REM
REMGRO Forecast Data REMGRO Analysis Data
Market Cap at 20 Nov 2020: R51 144m VALUATION DATA
Shares in issue: 529 217 007 Jun 20 Jun 19 Jun 18 Jun 17 Jun 16
Final Final Final Final Final(rst)
REM Price(c) at 20 Nov 2020: 9 664
MrktCap (Rm) 56 771 77 467 84 224 88 009 95 449
REM Hi/Lo Price(c) (24 Mnths): 15 311/8 002 Pct chng - 26.7 - 8.0 - 4.3 - 7.8 - 0.5
REM P/E at 20 Nov 2020: 31.43 P/E at prd end 9.51 12.96 14.64 16.45 16.45
Hi/Lo REM P/E (3 Mnths): 34.15/7.99 Tr 5 yr avg 14.00 16.06 17.26 19.00 18.48
Hi/Lo Index P/E (3 Mnths): 21.54/11.28 Index prd end P/E 11.20 15.09 17.16 13.13 12.40
REM Volatility (36 Mnths): 7.26 Tr 5 yr avg 13.80 14.18 14.25 13.29 13.31
HEPS DPS (ZARc) NAV (ZAR/cps)
CONSENSUS 1100 18000
VIEW:
880 14400
BUY
BUY HOLD SELL 660 10800
440 7200
EARNINGS FORECASTS Jun 21 F Jun 22 F Jun 23 F
220 3600
HEPS HEPS HEPS
Number of contributors 5 5 1 0 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 0 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20
High estimate 1 835.0 2 034.0 1 162.0
Low estimate 527.0 945.0 1 162.0 MORE RATIOS AND STATS (Finals only)
Standard deviation 475.4 415.4 - Jun 20 Jun 19 Jun 18 Jun 17 Jun 16
Final Final Final Final Final(rst)
Profile Media Consensus 930.2 1 237.6 1 162.0
Sales/Share(c) 9 687.00 10 071.00 5 489.00 4 987.00 5 279.00
Pct change prev year 202.5% 33.0% - 6.1%
Pct chng - 3.8 83.5 10.1 - 5.5 6.1
Prospective P/E 10.4 7.8 8.3
Tr 5 yr avg 7 103.00 6 160.00 5 105.00 4 649.00 4 178.00
Fwd price: hi REM P/E, hi est 62659 69454 39678 Price/Sales ps 1.03 1.35 2.70 3.11 3.50
Fwd price: hi REM P/E, lo est 17995 32268 39678 Price/NAV 0.65 0.76 1.18 1.31 1.66
Fwd price: lo REM P/E, hi est 14655 16244 9280 Price/CashFlow 30.62 30.49 41.82 31.58 64.54
Fwd price: lo REM P/E, lo est 4209 7547 9280 Tr 3 yr avg TotRet - 11.08 - 6.79 - 4.58 - 0.68 12.13
Tr 5 yr avg TotRet - 9.43 - 1.73 3.42 12.24 21.61
DIVIDEND FORECASTS Jun 21 F Jun 22 F Jun 23 F Volatility 6.9 5.2 5.0 5.0 5.1
DPS DPS DPS
Number of contributors 2 3 2 Risk / Return Profile PEG inverse: -0.48
High estimate 647.0 1 114.0 971.0 110 40
Low estimate 281.0 298.0 316.0 PEG = 1
Standard deviation 183.0 333.2 327.5
Profile Media Consensus 464.0 703.0 643.5 3Yr Compound Return 45 5 Yr Average HEPS Growth
Pct change prev year 125.3% 51.5% - 8.5%
Prospective DY 4.8% 7.3% 6.7%
-20 -20
0 20 40 -20 40
Historical PE Range Volatility P/E
HISTORICAL SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE DATA
Annualised returns with divs reinvested to 31 Oct 20
21.53 Avg High
p.a. Return Grwth in Annualised Volatility
14.99 Average R1000 Inflation
11.78 Avg Low
1 Yr - 29.25% 708 3.00% 10.3
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
2 Yr - 17.69% 678 3.33% 8.1
3 Yr - 15.47% 604 3.91% 7.4
5 Yr - 13.42% 487 4.59% 6.5
Lo PE Lo Lo PE Hi Hi PE Lo Hi PE Hi
REMGRO P/E
Est Est Est Est
7 Yr - 5.46% 675 4.79% 6.3
32.2 70000
10 Yrs 3.68% 1 435 5.06% 6.1
27.28 56800
22.36 43600
Total Return Index for REMGRO TRI Price
17.44 30400
0
12.52 17200 -10
Percentage growthincluding dividends -30
7.6 4000
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | -20
Forecast HEPS Growth Forecast DPS Growth -40
1300 800
-50
33.0%
-6.1% 51.5%
1040 640 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020
-8.5%
202.5%
780 480
125.3%
520 320
260 160
0 0
2020 2021 2022 2023 2020 2021 2022 2023
Actual Actual
205